Tips to Win Lotto

I play a 6/45 Lotto game each week for a modest $20.   Six numbers followed by two supplementary numbers are drawn.   Prizes are given for picks of  all 6 numbers, 5 plus a supplement,  5 numbers,  4 numbers and 3 plus a supplement.    First prize ranges from $500,000 to $5 million down to  $50 and $30  for the last two minor prizes.

Your chances of randomly first picking all 6 numbers in a 45 number Lotto game are  1 in  8,145,060, but if you put in  40  different entries then  the odds of winning are better at 1 in  203,626.     If you do this each week then you may expect to win top prize within 4000 years! Obviously we need to speed things up a bit!  Is this possible?

We know that Lotto numbers are randomly drawn  and mathematicians tell us that the numbers have no memory.   This is true.   Therefore, the conventional wisdom is that it is a waste of time using special systems, or favorite numbers,  to improve your chance of winning.  You might as well buy an Ezi-Pick choice of  randomly chosen numbers and hope for the best.    Many people do and some are  richly rewarded,  rarely.    

However,   this is  only the top of the iceberg with regard  to the probability of winning which involves selecting a combination of numbers.   A large proportion of combinations can be ignored because of  their low probability of being selected, whereas other  combinations have a   maximum probability of being selected.     

For example,  the combination 1,2,3,4,5,6  or  40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45  have never ever  been drawn in Lotto.    The longest run of numbers I have seen are 3 consecutive numbers.   In fact, if you limit yourself to having only  pairs of numbers, now and then,  this eliminates a lot of  possibilities.   Choosing 3 consecutive numbers may give you one hit, but limits your choice of other numbers.

This brings up the need of choosing  a balance of  both low and high numbers and of  odd and even numbers, because in the long term all will even out since the draw is random.  In fact, if you keep a record of Lotto results on your computer you will find that short term biases often develop but these usually last no more than 5 or 10 games at most.  So play the biases to improve your results!

For example, in a 45 number Lotto there are 23 odd and 22 even numbers.   The long term number of odd numbers chosen  for 6 draw is about 3.1  odd.      If you see your medium term  (10 draws) creep to  3.3  and short term (5 draws)  to  3.8  odd numbers, then you know  you should favor picking even numbers, as it must come back  to the  random equilibrium  point.

Similarly with the low/high balance of numbers.   Your chart of Lotto results  shows  that  in the long term half the numbers are 22 or below and half are  23  and above.   This is what you expect for a random draw. But wow, what a lot of short term  variations  and biases do develop!  Draw a red line at the 22/23  boundary to show  how things are going.

On my present chart of results covering the past  30 games there are only 12  games  balanced exactly with  half low and half high numbers,   with   two extremes of  1 low, 5 high  and 5 low and 1 high.    Here is another opportunity to play the bias  if things get out of whack,  as well  as  having a balanced number choice as  much  as  seems  sensible,  that is use some “systems” balanced and have some favoring even or odd  numbers depending on the bias developed.  

Similarly, we can delve into the distribution of hits in more detail  across the 1 to 45 spectrum. On my large manually recorded chart of results covering 1 to 45,  all hits (XX) and supplements (red line) are recorded to give an overview of what’s going on.   I divided the field into 9 groups of  5,  starting 1 to  5,  6 to 10  and so on up to 41 to 45.    Wow!   The random draw should in the long term result in all groups getting an equal fair share of  hits.   

In the short term (last 5 games), you make note of  the frequency of hits. This may range from zero to 6 maybe. Such a bias can’t last for ever  and usually  things even out  by 10 games.  So when picking numbers include one or two from the depleted groups having  lowest frequency of hits.

What else to look for?  Considering the whole 8 numbers drawn (6 numbers plus 2 supplements)  my present long term chart (30 draws)  shows that repeats average 1.2,  adjacent numbers  2.1,  and pairs 1.2  per draw. So the sensible choice is to include a repeat number  and  as many adjacent numbers as is feasible.

It is also important to keep track of the “games out”  for each number drawn  and  so “type” the draw.  My grouping is as follows:  0 to 2  games out,  3 to 4,   5 to 9  and  10 plus games out.   Thus if a draw results in  3 numbers in the 0 to 2 group,  0  in 3 to 4,  2 in  5 to 9 and 1 at 10 plus then the draw is typed as  [3021].   My long term average is  type [2.0, 1.0, 1.5, 1.5].   Once again, if biases develop then play the bias.

How to put it all together?  The best way is to use the ‘wheeling numbers” system as developed and explained by Gail Howard in her books “Lottery Master Guide” and  “Lotto – How to Wheel a Fortune”.  I have tried quite a  few of her systems and now favor a simple one called 401, probably because it has given me a second prize.   Here you choose 8 numbers which when “wheeled” gives you  4  lots of  6 numbers which you enter on your card.  You can do this  any number of times  depending on  the size of your entry, but I keep it to 3,  or  sometimes  up to 10 times.  It is easy to set up these wheeling systems on your computer using any database software.  

In conclusion, playing Lotto responsibly, say by spending $20 each week, provides an interesting hobby which may pay you dividends.  Where does the money go to?  In South Australia where I live they tell you:  60% on prizes,   24%  to hospitals,  7%  to agents,  5%  to operations and 4% GST (tax).   You are doing the community a great service!